So looking at the rest of the ACC, who could face an early exit?
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The ACC got in six teams besides Duke: UNC, Virginia, Notre Dame, Pitt, Miami and Syracuse.
Like all #1 seeds since the beginning of time, UNC and Virginia will win their first games. We don't bet but if we did bet we'd bet the house money on UNC winning.
Virginia is slightly less certain but not much. We only say that because Hampton is also a Virginia team and it's conceivable that they could force the pace on the Cavs.
Not likely, but faintly possible. If UNC's odds are 99% then Virginia's are at least 97%.
We're very intrigued with Seton Hall. Look for a Seton Hall-Michigan State game down the road, with Virginia getting the winner - and perhaps a tired winner too.
UNC will face either USC or Providence in the second game and that's a bit dicey. Assuming they survive, they'll see Indiana or Kentucky and should beat either.
Notre Dame and Pitt loom on the bottom but Wisconsin will knock Pitt out and all three possible opponents for Notre Dame - Michigan (they'll beat Tulsa), West Virginia or S.F. Austin could give Notre Dame trouble, more or less in that order (reverse the first two).
If either makes it out of that round Xavier will finish them.
We wouldn't be shocked if Miami lost early or went to the Final Four. Assuming they advance, Arizona will be very tough. We think they could take Villanova though and that would put them in the Final Four.
Archie Miller is a hell of a coach: we say Syracuse is out early.