College recruiting will never cease to amaze us. The only funnier thing
is the NBA draft, where teams puff players up so that more gullible teams will
want them, and then on draft day, you see the long faces as the real targets are
revealed. It works both ways, of course: a team will talk down a player to try
and get him to fall down the draft. The sad part is the young kids who
believe it all and then sit alone and wonder how bad they just screwed up their
lives.
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Anyway, college recruiting has a similar pattern. Guys get built
up and torn down because, essentially, it's something to talk about.
Fifteen-year-old kids start getting puffed up and then when they're 17, they're
toast. Or alternatively, kids get totally missed and then blown up to be
the second coming.
Anyway, welcome to Shavlik Randolph's summer.
It's
amazing to us that on the one hand, this guy in the season was getting a huge
build-up, drawing 12,000 people (including DBR) to Reynolds, but now he's a
nobody. That's overstating it of course. But clearly the recruiting
guys have moved on. And to be fair, they have to. It's hard to keep
talking about the same things and then expect people to keep reading it (trust
us on that one), and you can draw readers by saying "gee, this guy is
better now, but this guy might be better, and what about that guy over
there?" It's sort of a shell game for rubes, like, unfortunately,
us.
Not that we're suggesting anyone is deliberately doing this.
We know Mike Sullivan and Dave Telep and Clint Jackson, and we have e-mailed
with various other gurus, and invariably, they are all nice, decent people who
have a burning passion for what they do. So the totally natural thing is
to keep looking, sifting, analyzing. It's who they are, and we're all
grateful for that.
Nonetheless, the premium is on new information, new
analyses, and fresh information, and that more or less requires re-analyzing
people periodically, and rankings, which we hate, are part of the game.
So
where does that leave Shavlik Randolph?
Pretty much exactly where he was when
the year began: an unusually skilled big man who works harder on his
fundamentals than probably any prominent high school player, and certainly any
big man in high school.
While people might rank Amare Stoudamire higher, or
get more excited about whoever the flavor of the month is, the bottom line
is this: Shavlik Randolph has mastered the fundamentals of the game.
Whether you are talking about shooting, free throws, dribbling, passing,
driving, boxing out, seeing a pass ahead, defensive footwork, the kid has put
hours into mastering the sport, and he's pretty much done it. We could
care less if he doesn't dunk like Amare Stoudamire, or run like Kwame Brown.
Neither did Larry Bird, or John Havlicek, or Oscar Robertson, or any number of
players, including previous Broughton star Pete Maravich. And, we might add,
Mike Dunleavy.
Today, that makes Shavlik Randolph an anomaly in the game, and, we might add, puts him in a position to become an unusually dominant college player.
It's important to keep in mind that Randolph played with
injuries all summer, possibly aggravated by the heavy number of games the camps
schedule. It's also important to remember that after all the hype, then
the anti-hype, the kid understands the physics of the game. As Bird
proved, if you can run the physics on the fly, you can own the court.
And it's
also important to realize that at the other end of they hype is a kid who just
likes to play ball. Let's hope the hype doesn't take the fun out of it,
because playing basketball very well is a joy which is outranked by only a
handful of things in life.
Let's look at some of the gurus comments on Shavlik.
Keep these and refer to them later to see who missed the boat.
-
Dave Telep - "Hindsight is 20-20, and (dropping
him to #9 nationally) is probably a little low. Shav is obviously going to have a good college career and will play in the NBA." -
Stickdog at the Big Time - The Raleigh Heat hasn't been looking for
Shav particularly, but this has ironically helped his teamÂs play. Shav is
still slowed by his injury and he appeared to injure his ankle further
during play this morning. He seemed frustrated with his play at times, and
he has short-armed a few of his close range attempts that he usually would
be flushing home. However, he has still averaged around 15 points, 10
rebounds and 4 assists and 3 blocks a game, and he has shown his handling
skills, defensive awareness, court sense, post move and scoring touch,
albeit in a supporting role to Matt Walsh and Michael Thompson. His team
seems to play much better with him on the floor than when he is out of the
game, and they have gone 4-0 (2-0 without Thompson) against tough
competition, so he is obviously doing something right. Opposing players are
still keying on him and trying to beat him up, so using him to get good
opportunities for his teammates (rather than always trying to force the
issue himself) has been a very effective strategy. -
Frank Burlison - Randolph is still hobbled a bit by an injury to
his left foot that forced him off the court for about three weeks in June.
HeÂs not nearly as quick or as explosive (vertically) as he looked last
summer or during his junior season. ThatÂs the biggest reason why
Randolph, rated by some scouting services as the No. 1 prospect in the class
of 2002 before this month, has been the target of some nit-picking by some
recruiting ÂexpertsÂ. -
Stickdog at Nike - Shavlik was obviously hurting, and he didnÂt
have the dominant camp that some predicted he would. In spite of this, it
was very easy to see just how good this guy can be. Let me get his
weaknesses out of the way. Shav obviously needs to get much stronger. He
must practice converting in heavy traffic and when heÂs being fouled.
HeÂs got to get after it on the boards with a little more intensity, and
he needs to use his sweet stroke to set up his pretty drives to the hoop.
But donÂt get the idea that Randolph is a poor finisher, rebounder or
shooter, because heÂs anything but. I could go on all day about what I
like about Randolph but it really comes down to one word: skills.
RandolphÂs got skills like San Francisco has hills, Latin America has
bills and Republicans have Wills. And that might be an understatement,
folks. -
Clint Jackson at the Peach Jam- Hey, not a bad first game for
Randolph. He started off the game getting less touches than normal, but
asserted himself rather nicely after the first time out. He schooled Texas
big man Aljou Kane on a sweet array of fakes and got the three-point-play,
swished a couple of 14 foot jumpers and gathered about five blocked shots in
the lane against the physical Texas team. Our stats had him ending with 23
points, 10 rebounds and three assists to go with the five blocks. Again,
Randolph was still a bit injured -- but played well considering his athletic
ability was obviously limited due to his ankle. -
Ben Sherman - After scoring 23 points in a morning loss to Team
Texas, Randolph faced off against Williams, guarding him for most of the
game. Randolph was clearly still bothered by his injured ankle, with a
slight limp and unable to jump -- and he was noticeably frustrated by the
condition (didn't even come close to cracking a smile from tipoff to the
final buzzer). Despite all this, he still had 20 points, seven rebounds and
at least four blocks - a true testament to his skills and mental approach to
the game. -
Mike Sullivan - We know certain high schoolers who are seeing their
stock drop. It's no surprise. Most of these kids can barely make a low post
offensive move. How can we be so sure? Heck, the NBA scouts told us.
The "local media" of North Carolina have rightly suggested that
Randolph is a fine player. HeÂs certainly a candidate for the McDonald's
All American game. In fact, one particular official was gushing all over him
after the Slam Jam at Broughton High School last March.
But many times in our business the temptation is too great and  present
company included -- we Âhype a player. Yes, folks, it's done. And in
Randolph's case it may do much more harm than good. The basketball world is
littered with players that never lived up to the "hype."
This is not to suggest that Randolph will end up being one of these players.
However, Randolph, a 17-year-old forward, has been elevated to god-like
status in the North Carolina area, much like Felipe Lopez when he played for
Rice High School and then at St. John's. This kind of pressure is unfair to
Randolph, and to any other player for that matter.